UPDATED: 1 New Death, 11 New Cases Of COVID-19 In Windsor Essex, Friday Morning, Weekly Summary Presented

Friday May 8th, 2020

Posted at 9:13am

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The Windsor Essex County Health Unit has confirmed 11 additional cases of COVID-19 as of Friday morning, bringing the local total to 685. They said 252 people locally have recovered.

Cases increased from 674 on Thursday May 7th to 685 on Friday May 8th.

The Health Unit says there has been one additional death as of Friday bringing the local death toll to at 58.  Dr. Wajid Ahmed says a female in her 100s passed away due to COVID-19.

Of the 58 total, local deaths, the Health Unit says 44 deaths have been residents of long-term care and retirement homes.

The Health Unit says there are 11 total facilities with outbreaks: Chartwell Kingsville, Chartwell Oak Park LaSalle, Berkshire Care Centre, Village at St. Clair, Extendicare Southwood Lakes, Franklin Gardens, Sun Parlour Home, Heron Terrace, Lifetimes on Riverside, AMICA at Windsor, and Country Village Homes.

As of Friday morning 10,012 tests have been conducted and 1,420 tests are still pending.

Weekly Epidemiological Summary

Dr. Wajid Ahmed, Medical Officer of Health, presented the Health Unit’s weekly epidemiological summary which looked at local case trends.

Dr. Ahmed says this graph shows hospital admissions based on respiratory illness. It shows annual flu peaks and shows the increases due to COVID-19.

Dr. Wajid Ahmed says the Epidemic Curve helps to show the progression of the disease (symptom onset date). He says since the second or third week of April the symptom onset date has gone down and is “moving in the right direction”. He says “it is very likely we have passed our peak with symptom onset.”

Dr. Ahmed says this graph shows confirmed cases by date, broken down between community acquired and long-term care homes. He says “we can see cases have shifted from community to long-term care homes.”

This graph shows regional and provincial rates of COVID-19 cases (per 100,000 population). Dr. Ahmed says there are two reasons why Windsor-Essex has a higher rate of cases compared to the province: 18 per cent of the Windsor-Essex community are seniors compared with the provincial average of 16 per cent, and 41 per cent of local cases are from residents of long term care and retirement homes. “This is probably why we are seeing a higher number of cases per 100,000 population in our region,” he said.

Dr. Ahmed says this graph shows how prevalent the disease is in the community based on positive cases per people tested. Dr. Ahmed says we’ve tested roughly 2.5 per cent of the Health Unit’s population of 400,000 (Statistics Canada 2016 census, Dr. Ahmed says the population estimate is closer to between 425,000 and 435,000). Dr. Ahmed says the decline in the positive rates on this graph is due to widespread testing in long-term care and retirement homes.

Dr. Ahmed says this graph shows test results in long-term care and retirement homes.

A breakdown of confirmed cases by age group and gender.

Dr. Ahmed presented this graph which shows the distribution of cases across Windsor and Essex County. He says Kingsville’s high distribution is due to cases in long-term care homes. He says interpreting the graph is important because “no municipality is better or worse than any other.”

Dr. Ahmed says this graph shows sources of exposure for positive cases. He says recently there is less community transmission and most exposure is due to close contact which he says is “good news from a public health perspective.”

This graph shows the distribution of cases across health care workers.

Of the COVID-19 cases confirmed in Windsor Essex, this graph shows the number of cases with medical conditions.

This graph shows the symptoms local cases have experienced and the prevalence of those symptoms.

This graph shows the number of hospitalizations and ICU admissions by date.

This graph shows a breakdown of the age and genders of local COVID-19 deaths.

This graph shows a breakdown of deaths between the long term care/retirement homes, the general population, the overall rate in the Health Unit and the overall rate in the province of Ontario. “In our community the case fatality rate is high, and partly its due to the high case fatality rates in long-term care and retirement homes,” Dr. Ahmed said.

Dr. Ahmed says the this graph shows how quickly COVID-19 is spreading in our area. The graph looks at the local doubling rate since the first case was reported. Dr. Ahmed says local cases are doubling less than every five days compared to March and early April when it was doubling every two days.

The Health Unit presented this new graph that shows day over day comparisons of the doubling time of new cases compared to the province and all of Canada. Dr. Ahmed says most of the time we have stayed above the province and the country meaning our cases have doubled more slowly. Overall Dr. Ahmed says we are in better shape than the provincial average and the Canadian average.

This graph shows the outcomes of cases. Currently 0.4 per cent of local cases have been admitted to the ICU, 2.7 per cent have been hospitalized, 8.5 per cent have died, the Health Unit is still gathering data on 22 per cent, 34 per cent of cases have resolved, and 32.5 per cent of cases have self isolated.

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